{"id":36482,"date":"2025-12-06T14:16:34","date_gmt":"2025-12-06T13:16:34","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/investx.fr\/de\/?p=36482"},"modified":"2025-12-06T14:16:53","modified_gmt":"2025-12-06T13:16:53","slug":"prediction-markets-woche-kalshi-open-interest-defi-leverage","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/preprod.investx.fr\/de\/krypto-news\/prediction-markets-woche-kalshi-open-interest-defi-leverage\/","title":{"rendered":"Prediction Markets Woche: Kalshi 50 % OI, DeFi-Leverage"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"kalshi-und-polymarket-ein-duell-an-der-spitze\">Kalshi und Polymarket: Ein Duell an der Spitze<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Die Zahlen der Woche, zusammengestellt von Analyst @Prithvir12, sprechen eine klare Sprache: <strong><a href=\"https:\/\/preprod.investx.fr\/de\/trading\/zonebourse\/\">Kalshi<\/a> und <a href=\"https:\/\/preprod.investx.fr\/de\/trading\/polymarket\/\">Polymarket<\/a> dominieren die Konkurrenz<\/strong> mit jeweils fast 5 Millionen Transaktionen. Kalshi beeindruckt besonders dadurch, dass die Plattform allein <strong>\u00fcber 50 % des gesamten Open Interest des Sektors ausmacht<\/strong>, der sich auf 706 Millionen Dollar bel\u00e4uft. Diese Dominanz erkl\u00e4rt sich durch ihren Status als regulierte Plattform in den USA (durch die CFTC) und die Vielfalt ihrer M\u00e4rkte, die von Politik bis Wetter reichen.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Polymarket bleibt seinerseits der K\u00f6nig in der Crypto und DeFi Arena mit einer massiven Nutzerbasis von 248.000 Personen. Das globale Wachstum von 7 % bei der Nutzerzahl \u00fcber alle Plattformen hinweg zeigt, dass die breite \u00d6ffentlichkeit beginnt, sich diese Tools anzueignen.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>90 $ in BTC geschenkt<\/strong> beim Kauf eines <strong><a href=\"https:\/\/preprod.investx.fr\/de\/visiter-ledger\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener nofollow\">Ledger<\/a><\/strong> w\u00e4hrend des Black Friday. Nutze das Angebot, bevor es verschwindet:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/media.investx.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/3\/2025\/11\/Ledger-special-2-black-friday.jpg\" alt=\"Ein Ledger Schl\u00fcssel auf schwarzem und violettem Hintergrund f\u00fcr ein Black Friday Spezialangebot von 90$ in BTC\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"die-ereignisse-die-die-landschaft-neu-gestalten-werden\">Die Ereignisse, die die Landschaft neu gestalten werden<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>\u00dcber die Zahlen hinaus haben drei wichtige Ank\u00fcndigungen die Woche gepr\u00e4gt:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>Eine Topbesetzung f\u00fcr Kalshi:<\/strong> Die Verpflichtung von Elisabeth Diana, ehemals bei Meta, als Leiterin der Kommunikation von Kalshi ist nicht unbedeutend. Es ist ein starkes Signal f\u00fcr den Willen der Plattform, sich in der \u00f6ffentlichen Debatte zu positionieren, w\u00e4hrend sie ihr Angebot auf Sport und Popkultur ausweitet.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Hebel kommt in den Prediction-Markt:<\/strong> Das Startup Gondor hat 2,5 Millionen Dollar eingesammelt, um eine DeFi-Schicht auf Prognosem\u00e4rkten aufzubauen. Bereits n\u00e4chste Woche wird es m\u00f6glich sein, gegen Positionen auf Polymarket mit einem Hebel von x2 zu leihen. <strong>Das ist eine echte Bombe, die die Volumina vervielfachen k\u00f6nnte<\/strong>, aber auch die Risiken.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Bitcoin bei 100.000 $? Die Trader glauben daran:<\/strong> Die M\u00e4rkte von Kalshi geben eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 40 % daf\u00fcr an, dass Bitcoin bis Ende des Jahres 100.000 $ erreicht. Dieser Optimismus, der von vielen Tradern geteilt wird, zeigt, wie sehr diese <a href=\"https:\/\/preprod.investx.fr\/de\/investieren-krypto\/besten-krypto-plattformen\/\">Plattformen<\/a> zu einem Fr\u00fchindikator f\u00fcr die Marktstimmung geworden sind.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"auf-dem-weg-zu-einer-explosion-in-2026\">Auf dem Weg zu einer Explosion in 2026?<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>Diese Woche best\u00e4tigt es: Prognosem\u00e4rkte sind l\u00e4ngst kein einfaches Gimmick mehr. Sie sind zu einem \u201eWahrheitsserum&#8220; geworden, um die Wahrscheinlichkeiten zuk\u00fcnftiger Ereignisse zu bewerten und \u00fcbertreffen oft traditionelle Umfragen. Mit einem Leader wie <strong>Kalshi<\/strong>, der sich strukturiert, und dem Aufkommen von Innovationen wie Hebelprodukten ist <strong>das \u00d6kosystem bereit f\u00fcr eine neue Beschleunigungsphase<\/strong>. Wenn sich der Trend fortsetzt, k\u00f6nnte das Open Interest bis Mitte 2026 durchaus die Milliardengrenze \u00fcberschreiten.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-buttons is-layout-flex wp-block-buttons-is-layout-flex\">\n<div class=\"wp-block-button\"><a class=\"wp-block-button__link wp-element-button\" href=\"https:\/\/t.me\/+z-a5LKRM7HxkNWZk\">Erhalte Trades eines Profis auf BTC, ETH und SOL in unserer privaten Gruppe!<\/a><\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<p id=\"block-ce8b919f-f6f3-442e-bd38-8519802bea1d\"><strong>Zum gleichen Thema:<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul id=\"block-583954aa-213c-4989-9518-0327fd28274b\" class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/preprod.investx.fr\/de\/krypto-news\/xrp-einzige-top-10-kryptowaehrung-mit-steigendem-handelsvolumen\/\">Warum steigt das Handelsvolumen von XRP als einziger Top-10-Coin?<\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/preprod.investx.fr\/de\/krypto-news\/warum-sui-naechste-woche-starke-erholung-erleben-wird\/\"><\/a><a href=\"https:\/\/preprod.investx.fr\/de\/krypto-news\/pepe-website-hack-malware-drainer-analyse-kurs-prognose\/\">PEPE Website gehackt : Inferno Drainer \u2013 Crash droht ?<\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/preprod.investx.fr\/de\/actu-crypto\/pourquoi-prix-terra-classic-lunc-explose-aujourdhui\/\"><\/a><a href=\"https:\/\/preprod.investx.fr\/de\/krypto-news\/trump-coin-stuerzt-wale-verkaufen-dies-ende-memecoins\/\">Trump Coin st\u00fcrzt ab, da Wale verkaufen: Ist dies das Ende des Memecoins?<\/a><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Die Pr\u00e4diktionsm\u00e4rkte, in denen auf den Ausgang realer Ereignisse gewettet wird, bleiben ein zuverl\u00e4ssiger Indikator f\u00fcr die kollektive Meinung. Kalshi behauptet sich als Marktf\u00fchrer in einem \u00d6kosystem, das trotz leicht r\u00fcckl\u00e4ufiger Volumina ein robustes Wachstum von 11% verzeichnet. Neue DeFi-Innovationen versprechen, die M\u00f6glichkeiten zu vervielfachen.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":32,"featured_media":36481,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_yoast_wpseo_focuskw":"kalshi","_yoast_wpseo_title":"Prediction Markets Woche : Kalshi 50 % OI, DeFi-Leverage","_yoast_wpseo_metadesc":"Kalshi dominiert mit 50 % OI und $1 Mrd. Funding (Valuation 11 Mrd. $), DeFi-Integration via Solana (DFlow\/Jupiter) bringt Leverage.","footnotes":"","faq_titre":"","questions_frequentes":"","custom_permalink":""},"categories":[16,11],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-36482","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-exchanges","category-krypto-news"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v26.4 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Prediction Markets Woche : Kalshi 50 % OI, DeFi-Leverage<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Kalshi dominiert mit 50 % OI und $1 Mrd. 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