{"id":24567,"date":"2025-12-18T17:16:00","date_gmt":"2025-12-18T17:16:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/?p=24567"},"modified":"2025-12-18T16:36:38","modified_gmt":"2025-12-18T16:36:38","slug":"decoding-bitcoin-crash-is-an-explosive-rebound-on-horizon","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/preprod.investx.fr\/en\/crypto-news\/decoding-bitcoin-crash-is-an-explosive-rebound-on-horizon\/","title":{"rendered":"Decoding the Bitcoin crash: Is an explosive rebound on the horizon?"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"bitcoin-just-flashed-a-rare-capitulation-signal\">Bitcoin Just Flashed a Rare Capitulation Signal<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p><strong><a href=\"https:\/\/preprod.investx.fr\/en\/crypto-investing\/buy\/bitcoin\/\">Bitcoin<\/a><\/strong> is trading around <strong>$89,000<\/strong> after its 14-day <strong>Relative Strength Index (RSI)<\/strong> dropped below 30 in mid-November. This threshold traditionally marks an extreme capitulation zone where sellers exhaust their pressure. <strong>Julien Bittel<\/strong> of Global Macro Investor shared a particularly insightful chart: he overlays Bitcoin&#8217;s recent trajectory with the average of the last five times the RSI crossed this critical level. The result? A mathematical projection pointing toward <strong>$180,000<\/strong> approximately 90 days after the oversold reading.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-twitter wp-block-embed-twitter\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">A lot of people have been asking for an update on this chart, so I\u2019ll just leave this here for anyone who needs to see it.<br>\u00a0<br>This shows the average BTC trajectory following an oversold RSI reading, with RSI falling below 30 at t=0.<br>\u00a0<br>So far, it\u2019s been pretty bang on.<br>\u00a0<br>Unless you\u2026 <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/FRLt5w7oFT\">pic.twitter.com\/FRLt5w7oFT<\/a><\/p>&mdash; Julien Bittel, CFA (@BittelJulien) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/BittelJulien\/status\/2001266989264687239?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">December 17, 2025<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>Bear in mind, however, that this $180,000 target represents <strong>a gain of approximately 105% in three months<\/strong>, equivalent to a daily compounded return of <strong>0.80%<\/strong>. This chart constitutes an event study average, not a distribution of forecasts. It therefore potentially masks significant variations in historical trajectories.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-buttons is-layout-flex wp-block-buttons-is-layout-flex\">\n<div class=\"wp-block-button\"><a class=\"wp-block-button__link wp-element-button\" href=\"https:\/\/preprod.investx.fr\/go-pionex\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener nofollow\">Sign up and try to win 1,000 USDT!<\/a><\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"does-the-four-year-cycle-still-hold-up-under-analysis\">Does the Four-Year Cycle Still Hold Up Under Analysis?<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Price action since October keeps the cyclical argument alive. Bitcoin peaked at <strong>$126,223<\/strong> in October before plunging through late November. The November 21 low near <strong>$80,697<\/strong> represents <strong>a correction of approximately 36%<\/strong> from the top, a decline that fits perfectly within the 35% to 55% retracement range identified in the <strong>post-halving<\/strong> timing model.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The $106,400 level stands out as a <strong>crucial regime pivot<\/strong>. BTC remained stuck below this threshold for weeks until mid-December. To validate the trajectory toward $180,000, sustained acceptance above this pivot becomes virtually indispensable. Without it, the market risks remaining <strong>trapped in a simple momentum bounce<\/strong> within a corrective range, rather than initiating a new bullish leg.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Bittel&#8217;s theory that the &#8220;four-year cycle is dead&#8221; rests on <strong>macroeconomic mechanisms<\/strong> rather than halving calendars. He connects cyclical timing to the dynamics of U.S. public debt refinancing and interest payments that now exceed $1 trillion annually. These macro factors could <strong>redefine Bitcoin&#8217;s liquidity drivers<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Related articles:<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/preprod.investx.fr\/en\/crypto-news\/xrp-analysis-surge-to-2-17-dollars-possible-after-dropping-to-1-8-dollars\/\">XRP analysis: Is a qurge to $2.17 possible after dropping to $1.8?<\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/preprod.investx.fr\/en\/crypto-news\/discover-why-solana-sol-is-on-verge-skyrocketing\/\">Discover why Solana (SOL) is on the verge of skyrocketing<\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/preprod.investx.fr\/en\/crypto-news\/visa-launches-stablecoin-payments-on-solana-will-sol-skyrocket\/\">Visa launches stablecoin payments on Solana: Will SOL skyrocket?<\/a><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Bitcoin has just sent a crucial technical signal eagerly awaited by traders: its RSI has dropped below the critical threshold of 30, a rare event that often precedes violent rallies. Global Macro Investor&#8217;s Julien Bittel predicts an average trajectory towards $180,000 in three months.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":40,"featured_media":24565,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_yoast_wpseo_focuskw":"bitcoin","_yoast_wpseo_title":"Why Bitcoin 's recent crash signals an explosive rebound","_yoast_wpseo_metadesc":"Discover why Bitcoin's rare RSI signal under 30 could lead to a explosive rebound to $180,000 in 90 days. Explore past data now!","footnotes":"","faq_titre":"","questions_frequentes":"","custom_permalink":""},"categories":[12,10],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-24567","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-bitcoin","category-crypto-news"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v26.4 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Why Bitcoin &#039;s recent crash signals an explosive rebound<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Discover why Bitcoin&#039;s rare RSI signal under 30 could lead to a explosive rebound to $180,000 in 90 days. 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