{"id":25148,"date":"2025-12-30T13:14:17","date_gmt":"2025-12-30T13:14:17","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/?p=25148"},"modified":"2025-12-30T13:14:19","modified_gmt":"2025-12-30T13:14:19","slug":"polymarket-70-percent-traders-loss-0-04-percent-profits","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/preprod.investx.fr\/en\/crypto-news\/polymarket-70-percent-traders-loss-0-04-percent-profits\/","title":{"rendered":"Polymarket: 70% of traders at loss as 0.04% profits $3.7 billion"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"a-reality-for-new-investors\">A Reality for New Investors<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>While <strong><a href=\"https:\/\/preprod.investx.fr\/en\/prediction\/polymarket\/bet\/\">Polymarket<\/a><\/strong> has established itself as the leading platform for decentralized <a href=\"https:\/\/preprod.investx.fr\/en\/prediction-market\/\">prediction markets<\/a>, particularly during the race to the White House, the financial reality for users is far less rosy than the overall volume suggests. According to blockchain data compiled by DeFi Oasis, approximately <strong>70% of the 1.7 million addresses<\/strong> that have interacted with the protocol have <strong>recorded losses.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-twitter wp-block-embed-twitter\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">\ud83d\udcca70% OF POLYMARKET ADDRESSES IN THE RED<br><br>On-chain data shows nearly 70% of the 1,733,785 unique trading addresses on Polymarket have recorded negative realized returns. <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/O1ZLvy2p2s\">pic.twitter.com\/O1ZLvy2p2s<\/a><\/p>&mdash; Coin Bureau (@coinbureau) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/coinbureau\/status\/2005930609345257965?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">December 30, 2025<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>This figure is a harsh reminder of classic <a href=\"https:\/\/preprod.investx.fr\/en\/trading\/\">trading<\/a> statistics, where the adage goes that the majority of traders end up losing their capital to the market. However, more than <strong>95% of leveraged traders lose money<\/strong>. While this is less risky than futures trading, it&#8217;s important to realize that you need to <strong>educate yourself and practice<\/strong> for many hours before mastering the art of prediction market trading.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"the-top-0-04-captures-3-7-billion\">The Top 0.04% Captures $3.7 Billion<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>The distribution of profits highlights an <strong>extreme concentration of wealth<\/strong>, typical of financial markets but exacerbated here. The figures are staggering:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Only <strong>668 addresses<\/strong> generated more than one million dollars in profits.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>This restricted group, representing barely <strong>0.04% of participants<\/strong>, captured <strong>71% of all gains<\/strong> recorded on the platform.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>The total profits captured by this elite amounts to <strong>$3.7 billion<\/strong>.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>This disparity suggests that <strong>smart money<\/strong> and institutional players, likely equipped with better analytical tools or privileged information, largely dominate the ecosystem. <strong>Retail investors<\/strong>, often driven by emotion or media <strong>FOMO<\/strong>, serve as exit liquidity for these sophisticated investors. Indeed, <strong>whale manipulation<\/strong> is also very much present on Polymarket.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"the-illusion-of-easy-money-post-elections\">The Illusion of Easy Money Post-Elections<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>The enthusiasm surrounding Polymarket reached its <strong>ATH<\/strong> in activity during the U.S. elections, where volumes exploded. Many newcomers saw prediction markets as an opportunity for quick gains. However, the mechanics of these markets more closely resemble zero-sum trading than passive investing.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Now, it&#8217;s important to understand that, in most cases, you don&#8217;t need to be right <strong>but rather exploit the FOMO and fear<\/strong> of markets and opportunities arising from <strong>inefficiencies<\/strong> in pricing.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Data from DeFi Oasis confirms that the liquidity provided by the mass of small holders was siphoned off by a handful of expert traders. This phenomenon is reminiscent of the dynamics observed during a <strong><a href=\"https:\/\/preprod.investx.fr\/en\/learn\/crypto\/pump\/\">pump<\/a> and dump<\/strong>, although the mechanism here is based on the probability of real events rather than direct manipulation of a token&#8217;s price.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>While Polymarket offers a powerful tool for gauging market sentiment or <strong>hedging<\/strong> against certain geopolitical risks, it must be used judiciously and with innovation. As always in DeFi, the advantage goes to the best-informed and best-capitalized players. For the average trader, risk management must remain the absolute priority to avoid becoming part of the 70% of losers.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-buttons is-layout-flex wp-block-buttons-is-layout-flex\">\n<div class=\"wp-block-button\"><a class=\"wp-block-button__link wp-element-button\" href=\"https:\/\/t.me\/+z-a5LKRM7HxkNWZk\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">A professional trader guides you !<\/a><\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Related articles:<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/preprod.investx.fr\/en\/crypto-news\/solana-prediction-sol-january-2026\/\">Solana Prediction: What to Expect for SOL in January 2026?<\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/preprod.investx.fr\/en\/crypto-news\/bitcoin-ethereum-xrp-predicting-their-prices-for-january-2026\/\">Bitcoin, Ethereum, and XRP: Predicting their prices for January 2026<\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/preprod.investx.fr\/en\/crypto-news\/bitcoin-6-percent-gain-close-2025-green\/\">Bitcoin needs 6% gain to close 2025 in the green: Can it happen?<\/a><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>On-chain data speaks volumes: despite surging volumes on Polymarket, most participants are facing losses. Recent analysis shows that a tiny minority of Whales have reaped the bulk of profits, leaving Retail investors sidelined.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":32,"featured_media":25147,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_yoast_wpseo_focuskw":"polymarket","_yoast_wpseo_title":"Polymarket report: 70% dos traders em perda, 0.04% lucra $3.7b","_yoast_wpseo_metadesc":"Uncover the secret of how 0.04% of Polymarket traders secured $3.7 billion in profits while 70% are losing. Learn more!","footnotes":"","faq_titre":"","questions_frequentes":"","custom_permalink":""},"categories":[10,52],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-25148","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-crypto-news","category-prediction-market"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v26.4 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Polymarket report: 70% dos traders em perda, 0.04% lucra $3.7b<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Uncover the secret of how 0.04% of Polymarket traders secured $3.7 billion in profits while 70% are losing. 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Il est dipl\u00f4m\u00e9 de la Crypto Academy et est \u00e9galement un mineur Bitcoin depuis plus d'un an. Il a \u00e9crit de nombreuses masterclass pour \u00e9duquer les nouveaux venus dans l'industrie et plus de 2000 articles. 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