{"id":25739,"date":"2026-01-13T17:30:51","date_gmt":"2026-01-13T17:30:51","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/?p=25739"},"modified":"2026-01-13T17:30:53","modified_gmt":"2026-01-13T17:30:53","slug":"ethereum-price-analysis-4000-dollars","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/preprod.investx.fr\/en\/crypto-news\/ethereum-price-analysis-4000-dollars\/","title":{"rendered":"Ethereum analysis: Is a $4,000 explosion imminent?"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"a-healthy-cleanup-of-the-futures-market\">A Healthy Cleanup of the Futures Market<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Currently, <a href=\"https:\/\/preprod.investx.fr\/en\/crypto-news\/ethereum\/\">Ethereum<\/a> is trading in the <strong>$3,100 \u2013 $3,140<\/strong> zone, showing a slight correction over the last 24 hours. But don&#8217;t be fooled by this apparent lethargy. Beneath this trend, the derivatives market structure suggests a far more <strong>bullish<\/strong> underlying movement than it appears.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>According to on-chain data, the estimated leverage ratio on Ether has dropped from its peak of 0.79 (on January 2) to <strong>0.67<\/strong> recently. Yet, the <strong>Open Interest<\/strong> continues to climb. In trading jargon, this divergence is an excellent sign: it indicates that traders are <strong>reopening positions<\/strong>, but with <strong>less excessive leverage<\/strong>. The market has &#8220;purged&#8221; itself of weak hands, drastically reducing the risk of a cascading long squeeze. This type of setup often precedes organic and sustainable movements.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"spot-demand-takes-over-from-speculators\">Spot Demand Takes Over from Speculators<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>The other major catalyst identified on the charts is the behavior of the <strong>CVD (Cumulative Volume Delta)<\/strong> on the Spot <a href=\"https:\/\/preprod.investx.fr\/en\/trading\/polymarket\/\">market<\/a>. Unlike fragile rallies driven solely by futures contracts, Ethereum&#8217;s recent momentum is supported by genuine spot buying pressure.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-twitter wp-block-embed-twitter\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">Regullar into hidden bullish CVD divergence is looking so good right now for <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/hashtag\/Ethereum?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">#Ethereum<\/a> <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/ShTtYImTwq\">pic.twitter.com\/ShTtYImTwq<\/a><\/p>&mdash; Pajkoss_ (@Pajkoss_) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/Pajkoss_\/status\/2009380697270571397?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">January 8, 2026<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>When the price rises accompanied by an increase in Spot CVD, it means that investors are actually accumulating the asset to hold it, not to speculate short-term. Moreover, the long\/short ratio remains around 2.66, confirming a dominant bullish sentiment without falling into irrational euphoria. This silent accumulation is often the precursor to a violent <strong>breakout<\/strong> once resistance gives way.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Nevertheless, a <strong>bearish divergence<\/strong> in the CVD appeared on the 9-hour timeframe recently, for the first time since <strong>December 10<\/strong>, which had marked a local top for Ethereum.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"scenario-4000-or-back-to-square-one\">Scenario: $4,000 or Back to Square One?<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>From a purely technical standpoint, the battle is being fought at precise levels. The support at <strong>$3,000<\/strong> (also a POC) is currently acting as a fortress that bears are struggling to breach. As long as this level holds, the structure remains constructive.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"713\" src=\"https:\/\/preprod.investx.fr\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/5\/2026\/01\/ETHUSD_2026-01-13_09-22-49-1024x713-1.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-25737\" srcset=\"https:\/\/media.investx.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/5\/2026\/01\/ETHUSD_2026-01-13_09-22-49-1024x713-1.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/media.investx.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/5\/2026\/01\/ETHUSD_2026-01-13_09-22-49-1024x713-1-300x209.jpg 300w, https:\/\/media.investx.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/5\/2026\/01\/ETHUSD_2026-01-13_09-22-49-1024x713-1-768x535.jpg 768w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>To validate the scenario of a surge toward the order block at <strong>$3,800<\/strong>, ETH must first break free from the intermediate friction zone around $3,300 &#8211; $3,500. If this lock breaks, accompanied by the maintenance of current Spot demand, the path to <strong>$3,800<\/strong> would be technically clear.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Conversely, a loss of the <strong>$3,000<\/strong> support would invalidate this thesis and could trigger a retest of lower zones. Indeed, a <strong>bullish trendline<\/strong> has been reinforced below its price. A break below this trendline and below the POC would be a bad omen for ETH.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>With cleaned-up leverage indicators and visible Spot accumulation, has Ethereum finally gathered enough energy to smash through its yearly resistance? The answer in the coming weeks.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-buttons is-layout-flex wp-block-buttons-is-layout-flex\">\n<div class=\"wp-block-button\"><a class=\"wp-block-button__link wp-element-button\" href=\"https:\/\/t.me\/+z-a5LKRM7HxkNWZk\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Roro Crypto &#8211; Get free trades on our private group!<\/a><\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Related Articles:<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/preprod.investx.fr\/en\/crypto-news\/grayscale-altcoins-2026\/\">Grayscale&#8217;s Top 36 Altcoins for 2026: DePIN, AI, and RWA<\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/preprod.investx.fr\/en\/crypto-news\/bitcoin-trump-ibit-options\/\">Bitcoin: Trump&#8217;s announcements and $10 billion in IBIT options expiring this Friday<\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/preprod.investx.fr\/en\/crypto-news\/solana-technical-analysis-sol-170\/\">Solana technical analysis: Will SOL surge to $170?<\/a><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Ethereum (ETH) on the rise? Technical analysis reveals key levels, potential for a $4,000 rally, and factors to watch. Read now!<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":32,"featured_media":25738,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_yoast_wpseo_focuskw":"Ethereum price","_yoast_wpseo_title":"Ethereum price analysis: Will ETH surge to $4,000?","_yoast_wpseo_metadesc":"Ethereum (ETH) on the rise? Technical analysis reveals key levels, potential for a $4,000 rally, and factors to watch. Read now!","footnotes":"","faq_titre":"","questions_frequentes":"","custom_permalink":"crypto-news\/ethereum-price-analysis-4000-dollars"},"categories":[14,10],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-25739","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-ethereum","category-crypto-news"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v26.4 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Ethereum price analysis: Will ETH surge to $4,000?<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Ethereum (ETH) on the rise? Technical analysis reveals key levels, potential for a $4,000 rally, and factors to watch. 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Il est dipl\u00f4m\u00e9 de la Crypto Academy et est \u00e9galement un mineur Bitcoin depuis plus d'un an. Il a \u00e9crit de nombreuses masterclass pour \u00e9duquer les nouveaux venus dans l'industrie et plus de 2000 articles. 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