{"id":25962,"date":"2026-01-22T08:30:52","date_gmt":"2026-01-22T08:30:52","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/?p=25962"},"modified":"2026-01-22T08:30:54","modified_gmt":"2026-01-22T08:30:54","slug":"tom-lee-bitcoin-crash","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/preprod.investx.fr\/en\/crypto-news\/tom-lee-bitcoin-crash\/","title":{"rendered":"Why Tom Lee now predicts a Bitcoin crash before $250,000?"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"the-3-catalysts-for-a-potential-flash-bear-market-in-2026\">The 3 Catalysts for a Potential Flash Bear Market in 2026<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>As <strong><a href=\"https:\/\/preprod.investx.fr\/en\/learn\/crypto\/bitcoin\/\">Bitcoin<\/a> (BTC)<\/strong> struggles to hold above <strong>$90,000<\/strong> following a hesitant start to the year, Tom Lee&#8217;s voice rings out as a serious <strong>warning<\/strong>. Known for his often accurate (and generally bullish) forecasts, the Fundstrat analyst is changing his tune and outlining a two-phase 2026: a <strong>painful purge, followed by a spectacular renaissance.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-twitter wp-block-embed-twitter\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">TOM LEE SAYS A 10\u201320% PULLBACK IS COMING<br><br>&#8211; New Fed transition<br>&#8211; Policy-driven uncertainty<br>&#8211; AI still being repriced<br>&#8211; Drawdown could feel like a bear market<br>&#8211; Expects a strong recovery <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/tZn4uu2tXG\">pic.twitter.com\/tZn4uu2tXG<\/a><\/p>&mdash; Tom Lee Tracker (Not actually Tom) (@TomLeeTracker) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/TomLeeTracker\/status\/2013608228706304094?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">January 20, 2026<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>For Tom Lee, the current market structure is fragile. While long-term fundamentals remain solid thanks to artificial intelligence and <a href=\"https:\/\/preprod.investx.fr\/en\/learn\/blockchain\/\">blockchain<\/a>, three macroeconomic factors risk triggering a violent <strong>retracement<\/strong> in the coming months.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>First, the <strong>Federal Reserve transition<\/strong>. With the expected appointment of a new Fed Chair, <a href=\"https:\/\/preprod.investx.fr\/en\/prediction-market\/\">markets<\/a> will enter a <strong>&#8220;testing&#8221; phase.<\/strong> Historically, Wall Street always challenges new monetary leadership to assess its resilience. This period of uncertainty is conducive to volatility and sudden corrections.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Second, the <strong>tariff war<\/strong>. The escalation of trade tensions, particularly with recent announcements from the European Union and American retaliation, is creating a climate of instability. Lee emphasizes that the White House appears intent on &#8220;picking winners and losers&#8221; industrially, which muddies the waters for institutional investors.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Finally, <strong>political polarization<\/strong> continues to weigh heavily. In this context, Lee believes a <strong>drawdown<\/strong> (decline from the peak) of 15% to 20% is not only possible, but probable. Such a drop would temporarily push indices and cryptos into a zone of intense fear, often described as a technical bear market.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"bitcoin-at-250000-the-target-still-holds-despite-everything\">Bitcoin at $250,000: The Target Still Holds Despite Everything<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Despite this darkened short-term picture, Tom Lee isn&#8217;t backing down from his long-term vision. For him, the investment thesis on Bitcoin remains intact. He maintains his bold target of <strong>$250,000<\/strong> for the current cycle, provided the market manages to digest the turbulence of the first half.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>A crucial point in his analysis rests on the market &#8220;cleansing&#8221; that occurred in October 2025. Lee recalls that the massive <strong>deleveraging<\/strong> event of October 10th acted as a necessary purge, eliminating the most fragile players and excessive leveraged positions. According to him, the market is now healthier, albeit jittery.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"strategy-buy-the-dip-or-capitulation\">Strategy: Buy the Dip or Capitulation?<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Fundstrat&#8217;s message is clear: don&#8217;t sell in panic. Tom Lee advises investors to view this potential 20% drop as a <strong>generational buying opportunity<\/strong>. He compares the upcoming situation to 2025, where those who bought during tariff-driven dips achieved the best annual returns.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-twitter wp-block-embed-twitter\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">TOM LEE: BUY THE DIP, DON\u2019T GO TO CASH<br><br>&#8211; Expects a mid-year pullback<br>&#8211; Says fear creates opportunity, not exits<br>&#8211; Avoid policy \u201cbullseye\u201d stocks<br>&#8211; Still expects a strong finish to the year <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/WEYpd5cFhV\">pic.twitter.com\/WEYpd5cFhV<\/a><\/p>&mdash; Tom Lee Tracker (Not actually Tom) (@TomLeeTracker) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/TomLeeTracker\/status\/2014109411447275796?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">January 21, 2026<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>The recommended strategy is gradual accumulation. If the market drops, it&#8217;s time to strengthen positions in quality assets like Bitcoin or AI leaders, not to capitulate. Lee is betting on a rocket-fueled end to 2026, driven by monetary policy that will eventually ease and technological adoption that shows no signs of weakening.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>In summary, prepare for turbulence, keep some <strong>stablecoins<\/strong> on the sidelines to reload, and don&#8217;t lose sight of the long-term horizon.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>While technical indicators are flashing orange, the <strong>$88,000 &#8211; $90,000<\/strong> zone is currently acting as critical support. A breakdown could accelerate Lee&#8217;s bearish scenario sooner than expected.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-buttons is-layout-flex wp-block-buttons-is-layout-flex\">\n<div class=\"wp-block-button\"><a class=\"wp-block-button__link wp-element-button\" href=\"https:\/\/t.me\/+z-a5LKRM7HxkNWZk\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Roro Crypto &#8211; Get free trades on our private group!<\/a><\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Related Articles:<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/preprod.investx.fr\/en\/crypto-news\/solana-mobile-skr-token-airdrop\/\">Solana mobile launches SKR token: Your guide to the massive airdrop<\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/preprod.investx.fr\/en\/crypto-news\/bitcoin-price-analysis-predictions\/\">Bitcoin crash: Where will the price go in the coming weeks?<\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/preprod.investx.fr\/en\/crypto-news\/layerzero-canton-bitcoin-dip-analysis\/\">Why LayerZero and Canton are surging while Bitcoin dips: An analysis<\/a><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Fundstrat&#8217;s Tom Lee warns of a potential Bitcoin dip before soaring to $250,000. Learn why a market correction could happen in 2026.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":32,"featured_media":25961,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_yoast_wpseo_focuskw":"Bitcoin Tom Lee","_yoast_wpseo_title":"Bitcoin crash ahead? Tom Lee's $250K prediction & utlook","_yoast_wpseo_metadesc":"Fundstrat's Tom Lee warns of a potential Bitcoin dip before soaring to $250,000. Learn why a market correction could happen in 2026.","footnotes":"","faq_titre":"","questions_frequentes":"","custom_permalink":"crypto-news\/tom-lee-bitcoin-crash"},"categories":[12,10],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-25962","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-bitcoin","category-crypto-news"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v26.4 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Bitcoin crash ahead? 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