{"id":5637,"date":"2025-05-06T11:10:04","date_gmt":"2025-05-06T10:10:04","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/?p=5637"},"modified":"2025-05-06T11:10:05","modified_gmt":"2025-05-06T10:10:05","slug":"bitcoin-price-forecast-100k-or-86k-btc","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/preprod.investx.fr\/en\/crypto-news\/bitcoin-price-forecast-100k-or-86k-btc\/","title":{"rendered":"Bitcoin Price Forecast : $100K Breakout or $86K Crash Ahead ?"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"bitcoin-at-a-crossroads-market-update\">Bitcoin at a Crossroads : Market Update<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>For several weeks, <strong><a href=\"https:\/\/preprod.investx.fr\/en\/crypto-investing\/buy\/bitcoin\/\">Bitcoin<\/a><\/strong> had been steadily climbing, driven by a generally bullish sentiment in the markets. However, since this weekend, this momentum seems to be <strong>waning<\/strong> as the price tests a well-defined resistance \u2014 a technical limit structured by both a historical trend channel and significant volumes traded at this level.<\/p>\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\">\n<figure class=\"aligncenter size-full\"><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"684\" src=\"https:\/\/preprod.investx.fr\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/5\/2025\/05\/BTCUSD_2025-05-06_08-39-30-1024x684-1.jpg\" alt=\"Bitcoin price in 1D\" class=\"wp-image-5661\" srcset=\"https:\/\/media.investx.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/5\/2025\/05\/BTCUSD_2025-05-06_08-39-30-1024x684-1.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/media.investx.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/5\/2025\/05\/BTCUSD_2025-05-06_08-39-30-1024x684-1-300x200.jpg 300w, https:\/\/media.investx.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/5\/2025\/05\/BTCUSD_2025-05-06_08-39-30-1024x684-1-768x513.jpg 768w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n<p>For investors and traders, understanding these <strong>technical resistances<\/strong> is essential to anticipate trend reversals, especially in such a volatile market as <a href=\"https:\/\/preprod.investx.fr\/en\/learn\/crypto\/\">cryptocurrencies<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\" class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"three-technical-signals-questioning-further-upside\">Three Technical Signals Questioning Further Upside<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>Technical analysis of <a href=\"https:\/\/preprod.investx.fr\/en\/crypto-news\/bitcoin-price-forecast-btc-surge\/\">Bitcoin<\/a> reveals three major factors shaping a short-term reversal dynamic:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ol class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>Top Channel Resistance: A Structural Ceiling<\/strong><br>Since late 2024, BTC has been moving within an ascending channel. The recent price rejection right at the upper level of this channel is a classic signal of a ceiling. Such configurations often act as natural reversal points in chart analyses.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>November 2024 Point of Control (PoC): <br><\/strong>The &#8220;Point of Control&#8221; (red line on the chart) \u2014 the price level with the most <a href=\"https:\/\/preprod.investx.fr\/en\/trading\/\">traded<\/a> volumes over a given period \u2014 is currently acting as a barrier. This level, derived from a range seen in November 2024, attracts selling orders and becomes a battleground between bulls and bears.<br>In the French context, it equates to a classic psychological resistance on regulated markets, similar to moving averages on CAC 40 stocks.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Activation of a Bearish Harmonic Pattern &#8220;Shark&#8221;:<br><\/strong>A Shark harmonic pattern has just been activated in the current resistance zone. These patterns, widely used by seasoned technical analysts, rely on Fibonacci relationships to anticipate trend reversals. A bearish confirmation would occur upon breaking the support at <strong>$91,648<\/strong>, a level that is still holding (for now).<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"bearish-target-for-bitcoin-are-86000-in-sight\">Bearish Target for Bitcoin : Are $86,000 in Sight ?<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>If the <strong>$91,600<\/strong> support breaks with sufficient volume, the scenario of a correction down to <strong>$86,000<\/strong> becomes plausible. This would correspond to a natural retracement after a swift rise, leaving little technical support below.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>In essence, the market could trigger a wave of <strong>stop-loss liquidations<\/strong>, initiating a deeper corrective move.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed aligncenter is-type-rich is-provider-twitter wp-block-embed-twitter\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"fr\" dir=\"ltr\">Bitcoin ira tr\u00e8s bient\u00f4t aux 91,000$&#8230;\u23f3 <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/CE8dlwxSLo\">pic.twitter.com\/CE8dlwxSLo<\/a><\/p>&mdash; Philippe | Crypto Zoral \ud83d\udca5 (@Zoralytb) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/Zoralytb\/status\/1919410281362382855?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">May 5, 2025<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>According to Zoral, a drop below <strong>$86,000<\/strong> would instead indicate a <strong>new low<\/strong> in the following weeks.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed aligncenter is-type-rich is-provider-twitter wp-block-embed-twitter\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">Bitcoin&#39;s daily RSI failed to get above 70 \u2013 a key trigger required for a bullish impulse<br><br>Failure at 70 the last time led to the most vicious leg down of the last bear market<br><br>In fact, the entire 2022 bear market remained below 70<br><br>In 2023, two local &quot;tops&quot; did make it above 70,\u2026 <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/gtbOzCFi8d\">pic.twitter.com\/gtbOzCFi8d<\/a><\/p>&mdash; Tony &quot;The Bull&quot; Severino, CMT (@TonyTheBullCMT) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/TonyTheBullCMT\/status\/1919379318003638500?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">May 5, 2025<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>Another indicator pointing towards a retracement is the daily RSI struggling to breach the 70 threshold. As Tony The Bull demonstrates on X, when the RSI fails to surpass this level, it often leads to a strong correction or a bear market:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<blockquote class=\"wp-block-quote is-layout-flow wp-block-quote-is-layout-flow\">\n<p>\u201cBitcoin&#8217;s daily RSI has not exceeded 70, a key element for a bullish impulse. This latest failure at 70 resulted in the sharpest decline of the last bear market. In fact, the entire 2022 bear market stayed below 70.\u201d<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n\n\n\n<p>Nevertheless, BTC shows a bullish RSI divergence and is expected to bounce in its demand zone between <strong>$71,000 and $73,000.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"what-to-watch-for-in-bitcoin-price-evolution-this-week\">What to Watch for in Bitcoin Price Evolution this Week ?<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Here are the key levels to monitor for BTC this week:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>$95,200<\/strong>: Technical resistance level to break to reignite the bullish momentum<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>$91,600<\/strong>: Immediate support to watch on 4H and daily closes<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>$86,000<\/strong>: Potential target if the support breaks and a vital zone to maintain the upward trend<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>As long as Bitcoin remains below the upper channel zone, the probability of a correction remains high. Bulls will need to regain control quickly to avoid a scenario of prolonged consolidation.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Conversely, as long as BTC stays in the <strong>green zone<\/strong> on the graph above, hopes for a <strong>new high<\/strong> are still alive.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\" class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"bitcoin-technical-analysis-key-takeaways\">Bitcoin Technical Analysis : Key Takeaways<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Bitcoin is facing a high-value technical resistance<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Three indicators confirm a possible local peak<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>A break of <strong>$91,600<\/strong> could trigger a rapid drop towards <strong>$86,000<\/strong><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>For analysts and institutional <a href=\"https:\/\/preprod.investx.fr\/en\/crypto-investing\/\">investors<\/a>, this setup calls for special attention. Risk management becomes crucial: adjusting stops, taking partial profits, or implementing hedging positions through BTC options can be strategically relevant.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-buttons is-content-justification-center is-layout-flex wp-container-core-buttons-is-layout-16018d1d wp-block-buttons-is-layout-flex\">\n<div class=\"wp-block-button\"><a class=\"wp-block-button__link wp-element-button\" href=\"https:\/\/preprod.investx.fr\/go-bitget\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener nofollow\">Buy your BTC on Bitget and get $10 !<\/a><\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>More on this topic :<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/preprod.investx.fr\/en\/crypto-news\/ethereum-price-skyrocket-coming-days-eth\/\">Why Ethereum (ETH) Price Could Skyrocket in the Coming Days<\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/preprod.investx.fr\/en\/crypto-news\/crypto-market-reversal-technical-pullback-key-signals\/\">Crypto Reversal or Technical Pullback ? Key Signals to Watch Now<\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/preprod.investx.fr\/en\/crypto-news\/pi-network-break-1-this-week-pi\/\">Pi Network Poised to Break $1 This Week : Major Milestone Ahead<\/a><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>As the cryptocurrency market regains momentum, recent developments in Bitcoin (BTC) indicate a potential local peak. Three key technical signals reveal that the leading crypto is hitting a significant resistance level, paving the way for a short-term correction.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":32,"featured_media":5630,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_yoast_wpseo_focuskw":"bitcoin","_yoast_wpseo_title":"Bitcoin Forecast : Will BTC Hit $100K or Drop to $86K ?","_yoast_wpseo_metadesc":"Bitcoin faces a key decision point : will it soar to $100K or crash to $86K ? Discover the latest forecast. Uncover more now !","footnotes":"","faq_titre":"","questions_frequentes":"","custom_permalink":""},"categories":[12,10],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-5637","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-bitcoin","category-crypto-news"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v26.4 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Bitcoin Forecast : Will BTC Hit $100K or Drop to $86K ?<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Bitcoin faces a key decision point : will it soar to $100K or crash to $86K ? Discover the latest forecast. 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Discover the latest forecast. 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