{"id":6284,"date":"2025-05-13T16:57:00","date_gmt":"2025-05-13T15:57:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/?p=6284"},"modified":"2025-05-13T16:49:58","modified_gmt":"2025-05-13T15:49:58","slug":"bitcoin-turning-point-rally-continue","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/preprod.investx.fr\/en\/crypto-news\/bitcoin-turning-point-rally-continue\/","title":{"rendered":"Bitcoin at a Turning Point : Can the Rally Continue ?"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"an-increasingly-strategic-equation-for-bitcoin\">An Increasingly Strategic Equation for Bitcoin<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>The link between <strong>inflation in the United States<\/strong> and the <strong>price of Bitcoin<\/strong> has strengthened since the pandemic. As an asset perceived as a hedge against monetary depreciation, <a href=\"https:\/\/preprod.investx.fr\/en\/crypto-investing\/buy\/bitcoin\/\">BTC<\/a> now reacts more to <strong>the Federal Reserve&#8217;s monetary policy decisions<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>All market players &#8211; individual investors, institutional investors, and <a href=\"https:\/\/preprod.investx.fr\/en\/crypto-investing\/exchange\/best-cryptocurrency-exchange\/\">exchange platforms<\/a> &#8211; will closely monitor the US <strong>CPI figures<\/strong> today.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Every month, the Bureau of Labor Statistics releases the monthly US inflation at 2:30 pm Paris time. The forecasts this time are:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>A <strong>0.25% increase<\/strong> in the overall CPI<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>An annual variation of CPI at <strong>2.3%<\/strong>, the lowest in 4 years<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>A Core CPI of +0.26% monthly and <strong>2.8%<\/strong> annually<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed aligncenter is-type-rich is-provider-twitter wp-block-embed-twitter\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">Forecasters expect the April CPI to show inflation was firmer than (a very mild) March <br><br>They have core CPI +0.26% on the month and the 12-month change steady at 2.8%<br><br>They have headline CPI +0.25%, and the 12-month dipping down to 2.3% (would be a four-year low) <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/d54O3NmiCX\">pic.twitter.com\/d54O3NmiCX<\/a><\/p>&mdash; Nick Timiraos (@NickTimiraos) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/NickTimiraos\/status\/1922091922727801333?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">May 13, 2025<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>If the figures are higher than expected, the Fed will maintain its restrictive monetary policy, which would be <strong>negative<\/strong> for <a href=\"https:\/\/preprod.investx.fr\/en\/crypto-news\/bitcoin-inflation-hedge-2025-btc\/\">Bitcoin<\/a>. Conversely, a sharp drop in inflation could revive hopes of rate cuts.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"the-feds-balancing-act\">The Fed&#8217;s Balancing Act<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>According to Goldman Sachs, the first interest rate cut is no longer expected in July but rather in <strong>December 2025<\/strong>. Despite persistent inflation, the probability of a short-term recession is decreasing.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed aligncenter is-type-rich is-provider-twitter wp-block-embed-twitter\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">Goldman shifts the timing of its next expected Fed cut to December (previously, it was July)<br><br>&quot;In light of these developments and the meaningful easing in financial conditions over the last month, we are raising our 2025 growth forecast by 0.5pp to 1% Q4\/Q4 and reducing our\u2026 <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/yNxPo3ZXrj\">https:\/\/t.co\/yNxPo3ZXrj<\/a><\/p>&mdash; Nick Timiraos (@NickTimiraos) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/NickTimiraos\/status\/1922030031997669784?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">May 12, 2025<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>A robust economy implies less pressure on the Fed to act, which could result in consolidation or a decline in the price of Bitcoin. Conversely, a deterioration in macroeconomic indicators would revive hopes of a monetary policy pivot, beneficial for BTC.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>For crypto investors, several elements are worth monitoring:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>The hedge role<\/strong> of Bitcoin becomes more nuanced in periods of high interest rates<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Persistent inflation<\/strong> could weaken the euro against the dollar, indirectly weakening flows into cryptos<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>But a <strong>downside surprise in inflation<\/strong> would allow BTC to return to an uptrend<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"possible-scenarios-for-bitcoin-price\">Possible Scenarios for Bitcoin Price<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<ol class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>Lower than expected inflation<\/strong>: Anticipation of a quicker Fed pivot, likely Bitcoin rise above $65,000<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Higher than expected inflation<\/strong>: Maintenance of restrictive monetary policy, high probability of Bitcoin correction (back to $58,000 &#8211; $60,000)<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Inflation as expected<\/strong>: Short-term sideways consolidation of BTC<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n\n\n\n<p>This Tuesday&#8217;s announcement represents <strong>a turning point<\/strong> for the Bitcoin price. The US inflation figure could mark the beginning of a new uptrend or strengthen the current consolidation.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>For crypto investors, it is a time for <strong>caution<\/strong> but also for actively observing Fed signals and key technical levels of BTC.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-buttons is-content-justification-center is-layout-flex wp-container-core-buttons-is-layout-16018d1d wp-block-buttons-is-layout-flex\">\n<div class=\"wp-block-button\"><a class=\"wp-block-button__link wp-element-button\" href=\"https:\/\/preprod.investx.fr\/go-bitget\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener nofollow\"><strong>Buy Bitcoin (BTC) on Bitget !<\/strong><\/a><\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>More on this topic :<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/preprod.investx.fr\/en\/crypto-news\/top-10-crypto-highlights-may-13-bitcoin-memecoins\/\">Top 10 Crypto Highlights for May 13 : BTC, Memes &amp; S&amp;P 500<\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/preprod.investx.fr\/en\/crypto-news\/memecoins-surge-hype-or-influencer-strategy\/\">Memecoins Are Pumping : Hype Cycle or Influencer Game?<\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/preprod.investx.fr\/en\/crypto-news\/bgb-price-rise-buy-now-or-wait\/\">BGB\u2019s Meteoric Rise : Will the Rally Continue or Fade ?<\/a><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Crypto investors worldwide are eagerly awaiting the US inflation rate announcement on Tuesday, May 13, 2025, at 2:30 pm. This macroeconomic indicator could significantly impact Bitcoin&#8217;s price trajectory.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":40,"featured_media":6281,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_yoast_wpseo_focuskw":"bitcoin","_yoast_wpseo_title":"Bitcoin Rally at Risk ? Key Levels to Watch Right Now !","_yoast_wpseo_metadesc":"Bitcoin hits a critical moment : can the current rally hold? Explore key indicators and expert insights on what\u2019s next for BTC.","footnotes":"","faq_titre":"","questions_frequentes":"","custom_permalink":""},"categories":[12,10],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-6284","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-bitcoin","category-crypto-news"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v26.4 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Bitcoin Rally at Risk ? 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