{"id":7361,"date":"2025-05-26T11:01:00","date_gmt":"2025-05-26T10:01:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/investx.fr\/en\/?p=7361"},"modified":"2025-05-26T10:38:57","modified_gmt":"2025-05-26T09:38:57","slug":"next-bitcoin-ath-timing-signals","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/preprod.investx.fr\/en\/crypto-news\/next-bitcoin-ath-timing-signals\/","title":{"rendered":"When Is the Next Bitcoin ATH Coming ? Key Levels to Watch"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"mixed-signals-between-long-term-and-short-term-holders\">Mixed Signals Between Long-Term and Short-Term Holders<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Bitcoin &#8220;Liveliness,&#8221; <\/strong>a key <a href=\"https:\/\/preprod.investx.fr\/en\/trading\/technical-indicators\/\">indicator<\/a> for tracking the activity of long-term holders (<strong>LTHs<\/strong>), has recently reached its highest level in nearly 4 years. This increase indicates that these long-standing investors are beginning to realize their profits, a behavior that raises <strong>questions about the sustainability<\/strong> of the recent bullish rally.<\/p>\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\">\n<figure class=\"aligncenter size-full\"><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"576\" src=\"https:\/\/preprod.investx.fr\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/5\/2025\/05\/image-7-3-1024x576-1.jpg\" alt=\"Bitcoin liveliness chart\" class=\"wp-image-7381\" srcset=\"https:\/\/media.investx.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/5\/2025\/05\/image-7-3-1024x576-1.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/media.investx.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/5\/2025\/05\/image-7-3-1024x576-1-300x169.jpg 300w, https:\/\/media.investx.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/5\/2025\/05\/image-7-3-1024x576-1-768x432.jpg 768w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">Source: Glassnode<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n<p>LTHs are generally considered the pillar of <a href=\"https:\/\/preprod.investx.fr\/en\/crypto-investing\/buy\/bitcoin\/\">Bitcoin<\/a> price stability. Their <strong>selling activity<\/strong> often suggests a shift in investor sentiment toward greater skepticism. When these &#8220;<strong>whales<\/strong>&#8221; decide to divest their holdings, it can lead to increased market volatility and a potential price correction.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-twitter wp-block-embed-twitter\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">The current unrealized profit indicator for Short-Term Holders holding coins for 1 to 3 months is 27%. Over the past 4 years, when this metric rose above 40%, the cohort began selling coins &#8211; this created strong price pressure.<br><br>1. Current NUPL (Short-Term Holders, 1\u20133 m): 27%<br>2.\u2026 <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/izQAWOhhId\">pic.twitter.com\/izQAWOhhId<\/a><\/p>&mdash; Axel \ud83d\udc8e\ud83d\ude4c Adler Jr (@AxelAdlerJr) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/AxelAdlerJr\/status\/1926882226811150514?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">May 26, 2025<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>On the other hand, <strong>short-term holders<\/strong> are not yet in their selling zone, as analyst Axel points out. Indeed, while whales are positioning themselves on promising altcoins, Axel Adler Jr. highlights that when the <strong>Net Unrealized Profit\/Loss (NUPL)<\/strong> indicator for 1-3 month holders exceeds <strong>40%<\/strong>, selling pressure intensifies, influencing price dynamics.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>In his analysis, he projects that with a current NUPL of <strong>27%<\/strong> and a growth rate of 0.818 percentage points per day, this threshold could be reached by <strong>June 11, 2025<\/strong>, potentially propelling Bitcoin&#8217;s price to approximately <strong>$162,000<\/strong>. However, Adler cautions against unforeseen events, such as sudden declarations by influential political figures, which could disrupt this bullish trajectory.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"a-114000-selling-wall-to-overcome\">A $114,000 Selling Wall to Overcome<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>The creation of new <a href=\"https:\/\/preprod.investx.fr\/en\/crypto-news\/bitcoin-inflation-hedge-2025-btc\/\">Bitcoin<\/a> addresses has experienced significant <strong>volatility<\/strong> in recent weeks. After reaching new highs at the beginning of the month, we&#8217;re now observing <strong>a decline<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>This slowdown in address growth indicates that fewer new investors are entering the market, while some existing holders are choosing to withdraw. This &#8220;<strong>purge<\/strong>&#8221; movement of wallets is typically observed during periods of growing <strong>skepticism<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Bitcoin&#8217;s current price, around <strong>$109,700<\/strong>, is less than 3% from its all-time high of <strong>$111,980<\/strong> reached last week. However, BTC&#8217;s ability to break through this level heavily depends on investor reaction.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>If skepticism and selling continue, Bitcoin might struggle to regain its bullish momentum. A downward break of the <strong>$106,265<\/strong> support would pave the way for further declines, potentially to <strong>$105,000 or $102,734<\/strong> in the short term.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Nevertheless, Bitcoin seems intent on liquidating shorts, as more than <strong>$500 million in short positions<\/strong> have been placed at the <strong>$110,000<\/strong> level in recent days.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed aligncenter is-type-rich is-provider-twitter wp-block-embed-twitter\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">Major sell wall on <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/search?q=%24BTC&amp;src=ctag&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">$BTC<\/a> at 112-114K.<br><br>Smaller sell wall at 110K<br><br>Bids below at 105K-106K <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/HScgeHMDUF\">pic.twitter.com\/HScgeHMDUF<\/a><\/p>&mdash; Killa (@KillaXBT) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/KillaXBT\/status\/1926753736266850445?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">May 25, 2025<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>As Killa indicates, a major selling wall has been placed between <strong>$112k and $114k<\/strong>, which could slow its rise if it reaches these levels.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>In conclusion, Bitcoin&#8217;s rally is currently under pressure as long-term holders sell and new wallet growth slows. The price must accelerate, as time is working against it. Nevertheless, STH (Short-Term Holder) data indicates that the rally could still continue for several days or weeks.<\/p>\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\">\n<figure class=\"aligncenter size-full\"><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"557\" src=\"https:\/\/preprod.investx.fr\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/5\/2025\/05\/newplot-2025-05-26T082320.650-1024x557-1.png\" alt=\"BTC STH MVRV Bollinger band chart\" class=\"wp-image-7385\" srcset=\"https:\/\/media.investx.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/5\/2025\/05\/newplot-2025-05-26T082320.650-1024x557-1.png 1024w, https:\/\/media.investx.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/5\/2025\/05\/newplot-2025-05-26T082320.650-1024x557-1-300x163.png 300w, https:\/\/media.investx.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/5\/2025\/05\/newplot-2025-05-26T082320.650-1024x557-1-768x418.png 768w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">Source: CheckonChain<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n<p>Indeed, the STH MVRV Bollinger Band has not yet entered the red overheating zone, with a target at <strong>$113,499<\/strong>. This zone will be critical and could serve as a bearish turning point for the price, as many investors take profits.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-buttons is-content-justification-center is-layout-flex wp-container-core-buttons-is-layout-16018d1d wp-block-buttons-is-layout-flex\">\n<div class=\"wp-block-button\"><a class=\"wp-block-button__link wp-element-button\" href=\"https:\/\/preprod.investx.fr\/go-bitget\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener nofollow\">Buy Bitcoin on Bitget and earn $10 !<\/a><\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>More on this topic :<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/preprod.investx.fr\/en\/crypto-news\/top-5-altcoins-before-bitcoin-ath\/\">Top 5 Altcoins to Watch Before Bitcoin Hits a New ATH<\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/preprod.investx.fr\/en\/crypto-news\/bitcoin-mining-ai-challenge-solution\/\">How Bitcoin Mining Could Help Solve a Critical AI Challenge<\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/preprod.investx.fr\/en\/crypto-news\/shiba-inu-surge-ethereum-hits-4000\/\">Shiba Inu Set to Surge if Ethereum Breaks $4,000 ?<\/a><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Long-term Bitcoin investors are starting to sell, indicating a potential trend shift. Will the next all-time high be reached soon? Let&#8217;s delve into the on-chain data indicators to find out.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":32,"featured_media":7354,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_yoast_wpseo_focuskw":"bitcoin","_yoast_wpseo_title":"When Will Bitcoin Hit a New ATH ? Timing & Key Signals","_yoast_wpseo_metadesc":"Bitcoin is gaining momentum : but when will it reach a new ATH ? Discover expert predictions and key price levels to monitor.","footnotes":"","faq_titre":"","questions_frequentes":"","custom_permalink":""},"categories":[12,10],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-7361","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-bitcoin","category-crypto-news"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v26.4 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>When Will Bitcoin Hit a New ATH ? 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