{"id":112075,"date":"2025-10-30T14:57:27","date_gmt":"2025-10-30T14:57:27","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/investx.fr\/pt\/?p=112075"},"modified":"2025-10-30T14:57:27","modified_gmt":"2025-10-30T14:57:27","slug":"bitcoin-a-130-000-dolares-em-janeiro-probabilidades-caem-para-zero","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/preprod.investx.fr\/pt\/noticias-cripto\/bitcoin-a-130-000-dolares-em-janeiro-probabilidades-caem-para-zero\/","title":{"rendered":"Bitcoin a 130.000 d\u00f3lares em janeiro : Probabilidades caem para zero"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"floptober-quando-outubro-quebra-as-esperancas-dos-bulls-do-bitcoin\">\u00ab Floptober \u00bb : Quando outubro quebra as esperan\u00e7as dos bulls do Bitcoin<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Tradicionalmente, <strong>outubro representa um m\u00eas favor\u00e1vel para o <a href=\"https:\/\/preprod.investx.fr\/pt\/aprender-criptomoedas\/cripto\/bitcoin\/\">Bitcoin<\/a><\/strong>, frequentemente apelidado de <strong>Uptober<\/strong> pelos traders. Este ano, a realidade revela-se radicalmente diferente. O BTC tem dificuldade em manter os seus suportes psicol\u00f3gicos, oscilando numa faixa estreita que decepciona tanto os investidores institucionais como os particulares. Os volumes de negocia\u00e7\u00e3o permanecem ap\u00e1ticos e a press\u00e3o vendedora intensifica-se nos n\u00edveis de resist\u00eancia chave.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-twitter wp-block-embed-twitter\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\"><a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/search?q=%24BTC&amp;src=ctag&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">$BTC<\/a> is currently closing RED. \ud83d\udea8 Uptober streak broken for 2025. Two days left for a miracle rally! <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/ulOkwguQGT\">pic.twitter.com\/ulOkwguQGT<\/a><\/p>&mdash; \ud835\udc0a\ud835\udc1a\ud835\udc26\ud835\udc2b\ud835\udc1a\ud835\udc27 \ud835\udc00\ud835\udc2c\ud835\udc20\ud835\udc21\ud835\udc1a\ud835\udc2b (@Karman_1s) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/Karman_1s\/status\/1983519187122393206?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">October 29, 2025<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>As previs\u00f5es que circulavam no in\u00edcio do outono apostavam numa continua\u00e7\u00e3o do momentum altista p\u00f3s-halving, com objetivos ambiciosos de seis d\u00edgitos. Os analistas baseavam-se nomeadamente <strong>nos ciclos hist\u00f3ricos<\/strong> e na ado\u00e7\u00e3o crescente dos ETF Bitcoin spot. Contudo, a realidade do mercado imp\u00f5e uma corre\u00e7\u00e3o das expectativas. A <strong>volatilidade erode progressivamente<\/strong>, sinal de uma consolida\u00e7\u00e3o prolongada em vez de uma acumula\u00e7\u00e3o que precede um breakout.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Os fatores macroecon\u00f3micos pesam fortemente sobre o sentimento do mercado. As taxas de juro mant\u00eam uma press\u00e3o baixista sobre os ativos de risco, Bitcoin inclu\u00eddo. <strong>O \u00edndice do d\u00f3lar americano mant\u00e9m-se s\u00f3lido<\/strong>, <strong>drenando a liquidez dos mercados <a href=\"https:\/\/preprod.investx.fr\/pt\/aprender-criptomoedas\/\">crypto<\/a>.<\/strong> Esta combina\u00e7\u00e3o cria um ambiente hostil aos cen\u00e1rios parab\u00f3licos vislumbrados algumas semanas antes.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"as-probabilidades-desabam-analise-das-metricas-decisivas\">As probabilidades desabam : An\u00e1lise das m\u00e9tricas decisivas<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Os modelos quantitativos que avaliavam a probabilidade de atingir <strong>130 000 d\u00f3lares<\/strong> mostram <strong>uma queda espetacular<\/strong>. As op\u00e7\u00f5es <a href=\"https:\/\/preprod.investx.fr\/pt\/investir-criptomoedas\/comprar\/bitcoin\/\">Bitcoin<\/a>, verdadeiros bar\u00f3metros das antecipa\u00e7\u00f5es de mercado, exibem um open interest quase nulo nos strikes acima dos <strong>110 000 d\u00f3lares<\/strong> para os vencimentos de janeiro. Este dado objetivo reflete o ceticismo generalizado dos market makers e dos investidores institucionais.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"557\" src=\"https:\/\/preprod.investx.fr\/pt\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2025\/10\/image-186.png?wsr\" alt=\"gr\u00e1fico MVRV Pricing bands do Bitcoin com zona de resist\u00eancias e suporte do MVRV ajustados\" class=\"wp-image-112076\" srcset=\"https:\/\/media.investx.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2025\/10\/image-186.png 1024w, https:\/\/media.investx.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2025\/10\/image-186-300x163.png 300w, https:\/\/media.investx.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2025\/10\/image-186-768x418.png 768w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\"><strong>Fonte: Checkonchain<\/strong><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>A an\u00e1lise on-chain revela igualmente sinais preocupantes. As carteiras de baleias acumulam certamente, mas a <strong>um ritmo muito inferior \u00e0s fases que precedem os bull runs hist\u00f3ricos<\/strong>. O r\u00e1cio MVRV estagna numa <strong>zona neutra<\/strong>, indicando a aus\u00eancia de convic\u00e7\u00e3o forte dos detentores de longo prazo. O r\u00e1cio RHODL est\u00e1 em zona baixista e <strong>de bear market<\/strong>, confirmando esta <strong>fraca procura<\/strong> geral pelo Bitcoin.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Acumule os seus <strong>Bitcoin<\/strong> gra\u00e7as \u00e0 IA revolucion\u00e1ria da <strong><a href=\"https:\/\/preprod.investx.fr\/pt\/investir-criptomoedas\/exchange\/bitget\/review\/\">Bitget<\/a><\/strong> <strong>para maximizar os seus ganhos e o seu DCA.<\/strong> Ganhe ainda por cima <strong><a href=\"https:\/\/preprod.investx.fr\/go-bitget\/charles\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener nofollow\">10 d\u00f3lares oferecidos<\/a><\/strong> j\u00e1 agora :<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"900\" height=\"200\" src=\"https:\/\/preprod.investx.fr\/pt\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2025\/10\/Banniere-Bitget-PT1.png\" alt=\"Banniere Bitget 1\" class=\"wp-image-110568\" srcset=\"https:\/\/media.investx.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2025\/10\/Banniere-Bitget-PT1.png 900w, https:\/\/media.investx.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2025\/10\/Banniere-Bitget-PT1-300x67.png 300w, https:\/\/media.investx.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2025\/10\/Banniere-Bitget-PT1-768x171.png 768w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 900px) 100vw, 900px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Sobre o mesmo assunto :<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/preprod.investx.fr\/pt\/noticias-cripto\/sinais-de-alta-para-o-preco-do-doge-prepara-se-para-disparar-nesta-semana\/\">Sinais de alta para o pre\u00e7o do DOGE : Prepara-se para disparar nesta semana ?<\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/preprod.investx.fr\/pt\/noticias-cripto\/avalanche-a-beira-do-abismo-avax-chegara-a-100-dolares-antes-de-2030\/\">Avalanche \u00e0 beira do abismo : AVAX chegar\u00e1 a 100 d\u00f3lares antes de 2030 ?<\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/preprod.investx.fr\/pt\/noticias-cripto\/cardano-entra-num-etf-rumo-a-uma-explosao-de-120-em-direcao-aos-150-dolares\/\">Cardano entra num ETF : Rumo a uma explos\u00e3o de 120% em dire\u00e7\u00e3o aos 1,50 d\u00f3lares ?<\/a><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Outubro, tamb\u00e9m conhecido como &#8220;Floptober&#8221; pelos entusiastas de Bitcoin, revelou-se um pesadelo para aqueles que ansiavam pelos 130 mil d\u00f3lares. Tanto dados on-chain como an\u00e1lises t\u00e9cnicas apontam para uma perspetiva mais negativa, afastando a possibilidade de janeiro. Um rev\u00e9s significativo que abala as previs\u00f5es mais otimistas do setor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":32,"featured_media":112074,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_yoast_wpseo_focuskw":"Bitcoin","_yoast_wpseo_title":"Bitcoin : Previs\u00e3o de 130 mil d\u00f3lares em janeiro perde for\u00e7a","_yoast_wpseo_metadesc":"Bitcoin a $130.000 em janeiro ? Probabilidades em queda. An\u00e1lise do \"Floptober\" afetando os investidores otimistas. Oportunidade de compra ?","footnotes":"","faq_titre":"","questions_frequentes":"","custom_permalink":""},"categories":[42,6],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-112075","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-bitcoin","category-noticias-cripto"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v26.4 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Bitcoin : Previs\u00e3o de 130 mil d\u00f3lares em janeiro perde for\u00e7a<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Bitcoin a $130.000 em janeiro ? Probabilidades em queda. An\u00e1lise do &quot;Floptober&quot; afetando os investidores otimistas. 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